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The Astonishing Rich Vein of Form Fuels Aston Villa's Unlikely Title Charge
Just two months prior when the Villa attacker stood on the pitch at Sunderland, appearing bewildered while his coach admonished him for not reading a penetrating pass. During that period, as Villa went six without a win, it wasn't clear if his displays were an indicator or the source for Villa's wider issues.
“As Rogers swept in his second… Emery ripped off his thick padded coat, spread his arms and roared.”
In the latest match, in contrast, the touchline reaction was much more joyous. As the in-form star swept in his brace-sealing goal to restore his side's advantage, the Spanish tactician tore off his jacket, spread his arms and bellowed. The Birmingham club marched on to a 10th successive win and after failing to win their opening six games, find themselves just three points off pace-setters Arsenal.
Is Aston Villa Genuine Title Contenders?
That’s a rather hard query to resolve. Past precedent, the perceived status of the club, indicates otherwise. Additionally, they've rarely been completely commanding in many games, while the wins have accumulated.
As per the data, twice all season has the side had an expected goals figure notably superior than their opponents. For a team which has strung together 10 in a row, Villa look strangely fragile – yet currently the tight outcomes are swinging for them.
The Reliant Strategy
The prevailing tactic seems to be to exchange chances with an opponent and then rely on their talisman to rescue them with some precise efforts. It happened against Leeds, it occurred at West Ham, and it happened when facing United.
His opener came from a brilliant finish, bent precisely inside the post from the edge of the area. His brace-completing goal acted as a somewhat messier replica of the opener capitalizing on a setup by his strike partner.
“Perhaps Rogers’ right foot is becoming like Arjen Robben’s left: just because you know he’s going to whip the ball into the top corner doesn’t mean you can stop him.”
Can It Last?
Logic says not. In the recent win, the opposition had more efforts and more efforts on goal. They have triumphed in eight consecutive games by the narrowest of margins. They have allowed goals in all but one of those matches.
Regression to the mean could be the biggest rival the club must confront in the near future. Rogers, in all likelihood, will not continue to drilling his shots into the top corner week in, week out.
Potential for Growth
Maybe there exists an alternative path whereby, rather than outcomes regressing to match displays, the team's displays improve to justify the wins. Key players may yet return to peak condition.
- The centre-forward might resume adding to his goal tally.
- The winger might become the player he resembled at Borussia Dortmund.
- The defensive duo are due to regain fitness, bolstering a periodically leaky defence.
Maybe within that lies the potential for a sustained push, but they surely cannot keep relying on a single individual.
Relishing the Unlikely
Yet, nobody expected this. Nobody thought Aston Villa would be in a Champions League place in December. And most definitely two months ago, few could imagine the young forward by the end of the year would be leading a hunt for the title while establishing himself as a vital player for the national team.
This winning streak should be enjoyed for the very reason that it feels so unlikely. When the match-winner positioned himself before the Villa faithful at the final whistle conducting the cheers, he seemed to be thoroughly enjoying it. Which he fully merits. These runs of form are uncommon in the sport and ought to be celebrated.
Laura Miller
En passionerad livsstilsbloggare som älskar att dela enkla lösningar för en mer harmonisk vardag.
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